Creative-Occupation
0xef643f815d8ade7b3a550c89b8512c656fe68949
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.25
Total PnL
$-32.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.25
$2.25
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
10 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Mar 29, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.00Mar 29, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.75Mar 26, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?$1.27Mar 19, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?$2.02Mar 19, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$2.33Mar 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?$2.00Mar 18, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?$2.00Mar 18, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$2.00Mar 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.24Mar 18, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.32Mar 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.80Mar 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.00Mar 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 14:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".