Creamy-Association
0xef653ab4042f4a0ed0a821068e9e54f58654c8a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-235.19
Realised
$-9.53
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
541 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$10.23Jun 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.23Jun 16, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.21Jun 16, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.01Jun 16, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$15.15Jun 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.23Jun 16, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$7.25Jun 16, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.11Jun 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.14May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.34May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.13May 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.26May 12, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.35May 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.35May 11, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.16May 11, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.10May 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.01May 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.24May 11, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.31May 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.29May 11, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.