0xef6a08b400cf5d4811e7dfa257fde457327718e8
0xef6a08b400cf5d4811e7dfa257fde457327718e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$17.34
Total PnL
$-691.48
Realised
$-29.20
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 21?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 20?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 21?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.24
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 8?
24154 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-46.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 8?
5441 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-41.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 9?
1258 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 8?
770 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
233 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-131.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 12?
187 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 85°F or below on May 20?$1.00May 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 85°F or below on May 20?$16.93May 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?$0.82May 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 20?$0.80May 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?$3.25May 20, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$0.85May 20, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?$4.33May 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?$0.81May 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$4.27May 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?$4.11May 20, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?$0.86May 20, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 21?$5.03May 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 20?$3.08May 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 21?$2.21May 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?$5.03May 20, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 20?$4.00May 20, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 20?$5.04May 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$4.98May 20, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".