Firm-Bow
0xef74e34a6f6c0eb4941fd4acd6fad11d83d58a11
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.01
Total PnL
$-14.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$5.33
$1.33
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
37 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jan 25, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?$4.00Jan 24, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.8KJan 24, 12:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jan 24, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jan 23, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jan 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.8KJan 21, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Khamenei talk in 2025? $13.79Jan 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$6.00Dec 27, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.50Dec 27, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$7.87Dec 27, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.00Sep 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.00Sep 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.00Sep 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$7.00Sep 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Khamenei talk in 2025? $12.00Jun 29, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$0.00Jun 29, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$14.69Jun 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$14.00Mar 2, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General?$0.00Mar 2, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $279.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.