0xef83f2c87c293796c302e77037d404e07a1fa5d1
0xef83f2c87c293796c302e77037d404e07a1fa5d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$72.34
Total PnL
$12.87
Realised
$3.62
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.00
$0.17
- YES
Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.34
$5.80
- NO
Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.00
$0.40
- NO
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$5.00
$2.55
- NO
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.00
$0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$5.00
$2.55
- NO
Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.00
$0.46
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- NO
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.00
$0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$5.00May 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.60Apr 16, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$5.00Apr 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$4.29Apr 8, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$5.00Apr 8, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 6, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 4, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4.70Apr 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 1, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$4.50Apr 1, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 1, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$4.59Apr 1, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$5.00Apr 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?$0.74Mar 29, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Mar 29, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$4.54Mar 28, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$4.75Mar 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$4.75Mar 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?$4.79Mar 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$13.99Mar 28, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".