Meager-Credit
0xef83f4061072ddc0289dd5e050da559b93e4614c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-258.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
928 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 10?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?
925 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
867 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
831 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?
825 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 9?
820 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 16-22?
752 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 22?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$113.11Jul 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$113.01Jul 10, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.00 in June?$113.17Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.00 in June?$113.01Jun 27, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $620?$113.11Jun 26, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $620?$113.00Jun 26, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 8 above $690?$112.32Jun 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 8 above $690?$112.00Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$11.61Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 31?$13.21Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.77Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$74.23Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$74.12May 31, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ENCE vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D$6.98May 31, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMKosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard$12.03May 31, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$69.08May 31, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$69.01May 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$68.92May 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$69.00May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 31?$13.20May 30, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $77.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.