Spiffy-Bail
0xef8a876f321c79abecad704601d6d284d2bd4ca8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-164.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
636 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?
213 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-36.50
- YES
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
100 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
82 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?
68 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
47 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?
38 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$5.00Oct 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?$5.00Oct 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$12.00Oct 26, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?$16.37Oct 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?$10.00Oct 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?$5.49Oct 24, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?$1.00Oct 24, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?$1.00Oct 24, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$9.23Oct 24, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$1.00Oct 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$2.00Oct 24, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$2.00Oct 24, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?$4.90Oct 24, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$8.10Oct 24, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 16?$0.00Oct 24, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Oct 24, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Oct 24, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?$13.87Oct 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$12.18Oct 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?$5.00Oct 23, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.