Previous-Possible
0xef8b42855b05800bf8b14c54eaa0360dd58c066b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
509 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
460 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
371 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
172 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-143.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
160 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
146 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
141 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$7.82Jul 21, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.76Jul 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.55Jul 21, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.62Jul 21, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$3.43Jul 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$21.14Jul 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$14.54Jul 21, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$10.24Jul 21, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.39Jul 21, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.95Jul 21, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$11.09Jul 21, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$8.63Jul 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$54.37Jul 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$53.30Jul 21, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$49.49Jul 21, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$62.01Jul 20, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$41.23Jul 20, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.68Jul 20, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$27.28Jul 20, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $50.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.