Fond-Warmth
0xef98c81d560325c8a57b9f63adc8ba5cda78b586
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.03
Total PnL
$-455.19
Realised
$8.71
Win rate
80%
105 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 14?
139 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.04
$-2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?
111 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.61
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 86°F or higher on June 13?
165 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.16
$-3.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14?
197 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.10
$-1.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 13?
118 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.06
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13?
110 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.06
$-5.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 7?
208 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 8?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 9?
176 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 1?
165 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?$0.26Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?$1.39Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?$0.09Jun 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14?$0.10Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 15?$0.15Jun 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15?$1.29Jun 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 15?$0.62Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 15?$0.41Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 15?$1.65Jun 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 15?$0.40Jun 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 14?$0.40Jun 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 14?$0.20Jun 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?$0.36Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?$0.60Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?$0.60Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?$0.60Jun 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?$2.20Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 15?$0.24Jun 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14?$0.83Jun 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 15?$0.08Jun 13, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 105 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.