Kindhearted-Excess
0xefaa248a0be218485d736184366bf318f9d50d63
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-453.21
Realised
$1.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
433 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
377 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-94.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
65 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.98
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
57 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Harry Kane: 1+ goals
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.08
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$20.65Jul 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$20.64Jul 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$20.64Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$42.69Jun 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$30.64Jun 29, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$5.12Jun 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$15.27Jun 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$61.26May 6, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$101.71May 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$49.01Apr 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$50.99Apr 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$105.86Apr 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$101.32Apr 28, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.00Apr 18, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$20.00Apr 18, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$100.00Apr 18, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?$56.03Apr 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?$20.00Apr 15, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$63.94Apr 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$54.42Apr 14, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $29.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.