Sore-Messenger
0xefaf85c4e3361417a17437838696ca7f62486200
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$7.10
Total PnL
$-61.38
Realised
$1.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Armenia end in a draw?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Türkiye vs. Georgia end in a draw?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.53
$0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
99 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11AM ET
42 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?
32 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Moldova win on 2025-10-14?
26 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 17, 2PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET$1.00Oct 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET$2.00Oct 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET$2.00Oct 19, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET$2.00Oct 19, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET$2.00Oct 19, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET$2.00Oct 19, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Oct 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Oct 19, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET$2.19Oct 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET$1.00Oct 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET$1.00Oct 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Oct 18, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.70Oct 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Oct 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Oct 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 17, 7PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 18?$2.00Oct 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 18?$2.00Oct 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 17, 2PM ET$1.00Oct 17, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".