Probable-Scholar
0xefb75a8932c5db759a7140c6e4a82abd4c248d7d
active
Quality score
73/100
Open positions
7
Open notional
$155.67
Total PnL
$-21.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
73 shares @ 68.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$58.01
$8.01
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.58
$1.58
- NO
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?
29 shares @ 68.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.01
$-5.99
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
25 shares @ 39.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$8.94
$-0.88
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
21 shares @ 22.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.44
$-3.19
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.19
$-18.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0015h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$10.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?$20.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$4.639d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$50.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.0010d ago
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$53.0010d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $25.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.