Subtle-Harm
0xefbbd538cfae72cbe7e62cf926ba8e8f9c73425c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.52
Total PnL
$-15.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- US
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
5 shares @ 39.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.52
$0.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 22?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.00Feb 28, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 24?$3.01Feb 26, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.30Feb 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 24?$3.00Feb 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 22?$5.00Feb 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?$10.00Feb 22, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".