Optimal-Vet
0xefbec584e71807e655004838050cc5b7eececb39
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
22455 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-59.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 12?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.96
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 12?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 1PM ET
807 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-46.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 12?
300 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.69
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 12?
223 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?$5.98Mar 18, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$5.99Mar 18, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$6.08Mar 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?$6.08Mar 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?$6.08Mar 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$3.14Mar 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?$2.95Mar 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?$2.14Mar 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?$2.14Mar 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?$2.23Mar 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 17?$2.23Mar 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 17?$51.28Mar 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 1PM ET$5.00Mar 16, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$56.28Mar 16, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 1PM ET$41.36Mar 16, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$40.00Mar 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$81.36Mar 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)$8.50Mar 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)$5.67Mar 15, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5$2.82Mar 15, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.