Obvious-Parameter
0xefbf1e5b74aac50b131e36bf63a79473d589f8cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$21.62
Total PnL
$10.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on July 16?
8 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$8.26
$4.71
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
8 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$8.20
$4.59
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$5.15
$1.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.66Aug 2, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$3.61Jul 10, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on July 16?$3.55Jul 10, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$4.95Jun 28, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before July?$1.04Jun 10, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Jun 5, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$21.76May 7, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.00May 2, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 by January 31?$28.06Feb 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 by January 31?$28.03Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 22, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$15.05Jan 22, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$27.87Jan 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$27.81Jan 19, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$14.96Jan 18, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,500 on January 10?$2.59Jan 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$1.15Jan 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.19Jan 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,500 on January 10?$1.97Jan 8, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$2.78Jan 1, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".