Curvy-Contribution
0xefbfc53473caebc2c039078ab57f40c96a8179f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$53.85
Total PnL
$-426.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$30.00
$5.20
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
180 shares @ 5.9¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.05
$2.43
- TESLA
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
132 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.53
$1.32
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
300 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.15
$-7.35
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
250 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.13
$-34.88
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-31.99
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
350 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-76.65
- NO
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
300 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
180 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?$9.55Jun 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$5.64Jun 5, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$11.02Jun 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$19.46Jun 5, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 23?$14.21Mar 22, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 23?$5.90Mar 22, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$9.00Mar 22, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$84.00Feb 2, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$51.09Jan 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$5.50Jan 27, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$31.00Jan 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$4.89Jan 27, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.62Jan 27, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$11.25Jan 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$14.06Jan 27, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jan 27, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jan 27, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$20.20Jan 27, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$20.20Jan 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$25.55Jan 27, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".