Dark-Equivalent
0xefc26386e976044effc3e23d62692aa4d1374224
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.17
Realised
$12.56
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
211 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
160 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
159 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.06Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.07Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.13Jul 18, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.19Jul 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.45Jul 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.09Jul 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.15Jul 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.17Jul 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.54Jul 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.06Jul 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.29Jul 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.01Jul 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.90Jul 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.00Jul 18, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.