Hospitable-Potential
0xefc418801f89f4593092fe07a30b968cdb0cec22
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.81
Realised
$-10.45
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
299 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?
266 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?
74 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$19.82Jun 12, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$19.83Jun 12, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$28.00Jun 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$2.00Jun 10, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 10?$5.78Jun 10, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$35.78Jun 10, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$27.70Jun 9, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$2.74Jun 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$10.00Jun 7, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$3.08Jun 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$38.05Jun 7, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$30.20Jun 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$30.20Jun 6, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$30.90Jun 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?$1.00Jun 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$31.90Jun 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$29.47Jun 3, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$29.47Jun 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?$5.20Jun 2, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$17.00Jun 2, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".