Phony-Lode
0xefcfdd2c6044dc4f3d9d402b0d5ae470f35d8a9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.18
Total PnL
$-27.53
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.72
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.46
$0.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
24 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-16.58
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?$1.46Jun 14, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?$2.66Jun 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?$1.72Jun 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?$2.63May 31, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$1.07May 31, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07May 31, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.08May 31, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.44May 31, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.07May 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.43Apr 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.03Apr 29, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy join the Board of Peace?$1.63Apr 29, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Apr 29, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.07Apr 29, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.03Apr 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy join the Board of Peace?$1.62Mar 30, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.45Mar 29, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 30, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?$2.50Dec 30, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.