Ambitious-Distortion
0xefd16fb3e176205d49e6433d117cbb36f7d7c306
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-193.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$5.00
$2.95
- YES
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
2370 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 22?
809 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-29.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22?
600 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-28.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 22?
501 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
70 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
24 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
18 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
15 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$4.86Jan 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$5.92Jan 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?$6.09Jan 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$2.05Jan 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?$5.18Jan 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$2.05Jan 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1.25Jan 6, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$4.80Jan 6, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$4.50Jan 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$1.20Jan 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$1.20Jan 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$4.80Jan 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$8.44Jan 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$2.12Jan 1, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.96Jan 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?$6.08Dec 26, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?$4.82Dec 26, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?$10.10Dec 26, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.