Crowded-Sledge
0xefd387a2e1ceaa8e2840966058631a84078f6632
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
64%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
1120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
947 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-27.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
840 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
771 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
757 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
650 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-58.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
400 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
380 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
276 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-131.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
210 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-83.79
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.26Jan 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.10Jan 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.15Jan 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.15Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.15Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.30Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.35Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.35Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.35Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.65Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.60Jan 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.81Jan 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.14Jan 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 16, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$14.98Jan 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.05Jan 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.05Jan 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.15Jan 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.40Jan 16, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
107 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.