Clumsy-Mystery
0xefd791c2d48a512a4b73bd9569294cc4563923f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-82.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
52000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-61.93
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-38.99
- YES
Will Biden resign in November?
8533 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-124.98
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-35.99
- YES
Will Biden resign in 2024?
3964 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-168.99
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
2403 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?
2145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.27
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1481 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-19.84
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
967 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?$0.00Nov 16, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$5.00Nov 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in November?$10.00Nov 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$40.00Nov 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$10.00Nov 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in November?$50.00Nov 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$50.00Nov 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$50.00Nov 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$10.00Nov 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$10.00Nov 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in November?$10.00Nov 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$4.00Nov 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in November?$5.00Nov 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$10.00Nov 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$20.00Nov 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in 2024?$40.00Nov 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in November?$30.00Nov 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$20.00Nov 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$100.00Nov 11, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$20.00Nov 11, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $33.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 23:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".