Vain-Smoke
0xefd8c619e117919c6f889e3e31098e84f9f7e5ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 5PM ET
848 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
245 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
95 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
92 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.40
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
53 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
42 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
28 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00May 7, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$24.09May 7, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$26.29May 7, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.28May 7, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$14.29May 7, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.23May 7, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.34May 7, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.25May 7, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$12.50May 7, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.21May 7, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.28May 7, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.26May 7, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$21.74May 7, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.27May 7, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$27.90Feb 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$29.80Feb 19, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Feb 19, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.01Feb 19, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$34.80Feb 19, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$12.71Feb 19, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $18.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".