Rusty-Methodology
0xefdaaaf04911da6271cbf0cf63ef5fc32995bb15
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.08
Realised
$48.04
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
1210 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-22?
245 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 2?
170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?
120 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2025-11-18?
113 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 21?
80 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.72
- IMPERIAL
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs FlyQuest (BO1)
80 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-19.70
- RARE ATOM
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Rare Atom (BO1)
70 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?
53 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$12.00Feb 23, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.26Jan 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.62Jan 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.10Jan 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.04Jan 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.20Jan 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.20Jan 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$2.96Jan 28, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.58Jan 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.17Jan 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.10Jan 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.10Jan 28, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$1.07Jan 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$0.97Jan 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.46Jan 28, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)$5.50Dec 11, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?$7.00Dec 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.94Dec 10, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.30Dec 10, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?$1.40Dec 9, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 22:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.