Bulky-Circadian
0xefe263d3122176149528af45e3ec40af307f5e6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.60
Total PnL
$-85.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
105 shares @ 7.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
71 shares @ 31.6¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.20
$-20.23
- NO
Wealthfront IPO in 2025?
512 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
251 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
216 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.13
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
79 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
42 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$7.43Dec 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWealthfront IPO in 2025?$5.00Dec 10, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$0.00Dec 10, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELL'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?$5.72Dec 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$6.70Dec 10, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?$12.96Dec 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Dec 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$8.00Dec 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$5.00Dec 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$8.00Dec 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?$10.00Dec 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$15.00Dec 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWealthfront IPO in 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$68.47Dec 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWealthfront IPO in 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.50Dec 5, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$15.13Dec 4, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$21.00Dec 4, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$14.00Dec 4, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $15.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.