Idealistic-Mango
0xefe44fd4e330441319c522008b5d634013ba56ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$49.38
Total PnL
$-608.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.38
$0.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
800 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-304.00
- YES
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
526 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-305.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$48.51Jun 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$48.51Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$47.05May 18, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$47.06May 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$46.82Apr 26, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?$46.82Apr 26, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?$46.54Mar 17, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$46.55Mar 17, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$46.50Mar 3, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 1?$46.50Mar 3, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 1?$46.36Mar 1, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$46.36Feb 24, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$46.31Feb 23, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 40°C or higher on February 8?$46.32Feb 23, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 40°C or higher on February 8?$46.27Feb 8, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.5KFeb 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?$266.26Feb 7, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?$266.00Feb 7, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$630.00Feb 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$304.00Feb 7, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $366.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.