Swift-Blood
0xefe6d5412f21e0572ff342698f7cddf718a38bc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.93
Realised
$-1.84
Win rate
11%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 14?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 15?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Christopher Grotheer (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Skeleton - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 2?$0.02May 2, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 3?$0.00May 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 2?$0.01May 2, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 2?$0.14May 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 2?$0.20May 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 2?$0.20May 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 2?$0.14May 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 3?$0.07May 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 3?$0.09May 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 2?$0.01May 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 2?$0.20May 1, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 3?$0.20May 1, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 3?$0.20May 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 3?$0.10May 1, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 2?$0.01May 1, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 2?$0.01May 1, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 2?$0.01May 1, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 2?$0.00May 1, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$0.20May 1, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on May 3?$0.08May 1, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.