These-Tenement
0xefeb9f97b3f024b202d4c56e7a0ae969dcd7341d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.97
Total PnL
$-36.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?
15383 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-18.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?
5500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
3814 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CPJ hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.38May 20, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.40May 19, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.38May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.97May 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?$5.50Sep 12, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?$18.40Jul 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$3.13Jul 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$12.02Jul 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?$1.00Jul 3, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$0.00Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$1.00Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEM1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?$1.01Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMPhillies vs. Braves$5.13Jul 2, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.