Entire-Sunday
0xefee1a906e7dca7d70c48e2b32504874d287ca88
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-349.09
Realised
$229.47
Win rate
90%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Solana Up or Down on June 6?
1650 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.99
- NO
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 8?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1124 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9AM ET
1058 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 21?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9PM ET
995 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 23?
656 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.81
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12?
598 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 10PM ET
588 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.13
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 22?
573 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 27, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 25?$0.48Jun 23, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.55Jun 23, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.69Jun 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.49Jun 23, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 25?$1.52Jun 23, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 23?$1.20Jun 23, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 23?$1.08Jun 23, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 23?$1.62Jun 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 23?$1.40Jun 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 23?$2.80Jun 23, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 23?$2.76Jun 23, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 23?$2.53Jun 23, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$2.80Jun 22, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.80Jun 22, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $75 on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 21?$0.43Jun 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 21?$3.52Jun 22, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 21?$9.99Jun 22, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 17:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.