Courageous-Astrakhan
0xf0010bbdcd6e19178fdb64e1841345ccb88876c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-517.57
Realised
$-361.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 7?
2991 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on December 8?
2875 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 5?
1154 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on December 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on December 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on December 12?
691 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on December 6?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 28°F or below on December 9?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.00Mar 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.29Mar 1, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$70.00Feb 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$294.60Feb 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 15?$10.00Jan 14, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 15?$0.38Jan 14, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 12?$0.20Dec 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 12?$2.00Dec 12, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 12?$2.00Dec 12, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on December 12?$2.00Dec 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on December 12?$2.25Dec 11, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on December 12?$2.00Dec 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 11?$6.90Dec 11, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".