Soft-Primary
0xf0078630935f985f1d03f7d2b3cd4bfb76d810b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.8K
Realised
$-421.68
Win rate
41%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2808 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-435.83
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?
1600 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-165.99
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1332 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-594.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
1228 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-428.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
1190 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-389.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
1153 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-490.35
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
1144 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-287.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
1144 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-223.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
1131 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-311.88
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?
1094 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-107.61
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$19.88Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.22Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.22Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.22Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.22Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.81Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.14Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.39Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.31Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.17Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.43Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$4.05Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.80Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.89Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.83Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.24Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.34Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.58Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.84Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.60Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
41 closed markets, 41% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.