Rigid-Excess
0xf0148de7934dbc994bf335146193716d1806d442
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.50
Total PnL
$-30.17
Realised
$-19.81
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
8 shares @ 0.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.50
$7.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
234 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-8.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on November 28?
110 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 27?
23 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
6 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 28?
5 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Day-Lewis (Anemone) be nominated for Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.20Nov 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$6.70Nov 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$4.94Nov 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?$19.90Nov 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$18.44Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 27?$17.86Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?$17.14Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 29?$15.79Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$16.13Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 29?$14.93Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$9.61Nov 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$9.59Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$7.21Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$6.60Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$6.73Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$5.26Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?$5.12Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 28?$4.99Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elijah Sarratt win the 2025–2026 Biletnikoff Award?$4.67Nov 28, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.