Elaborate-Frost
0xf01eecab6ae79be419cf2dee3f767a7272a80aa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.58
Total PnL
$-19.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
303 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.97
$-0.45
- YES
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 15–20%?
637 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GPT ads by December 31?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-06?
8 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.20Mar 24, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$4.80Feb 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$9.75Feb 27, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$2.75Feb 27, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$12.50Feb 26, 12:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.04Feb 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$2.00Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Feb 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$2.60Feb 24, 05:09 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Feb 24, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Feb 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.47Feb 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-06?$1.73Feb 6, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.72Feb 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.42Jan 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jan 20, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 22?$2.04Jan 1, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$1.20Dec 24, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)$2.18Dec 24, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.