Silent-Capitulation
0xf023fbf4c052bbdfd7cd15d01ccafc306df88e33
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-98.96
Win rate
41%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 22?
1800 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-82.20
- YES
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 28?
1020 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 26?
995 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-39.81
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 28?
890 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-89.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?
643 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-46.18
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?
492 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 28?
435 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-79.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
369 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 22?
300 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
279 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 4?$1.31Jul 4, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 on July 1?$0.06Jul 2, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 on July 1?$11.59Jul 2, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 on July 1?$2.12Jul 2, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $80 on July 1?$38.20Jul 1, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 on July 1?$109.94Jul 1, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?$17.42Jul 1, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?$12.21Jul 1, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?$24.40Jul 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?$175.03Jul 1, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?$80.36Jul 1, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 28?$36.46Jun 28, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 28?$12.00Jun 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 28?$12.00Jun 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 28?$12.00Jun 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $65 on June 28?$32.04Jun 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $65 on June 28?$0.20Jun 28, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $65 on June 28?$0.20Jun 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 on June 28?$105.01Jun 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on June 28?$68.60Jun 28, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.