Silent-Capitulation
0xf023fbf4c052bbdfd7cd15d01ccafc306df88e33
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-97.18
Win rate
6%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 22?
1800 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-82.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 5?
1661 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-98.95
- YES
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 28?
1020 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 5?
1003 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-49.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 26?
995 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-39.81
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 28?
890 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-89.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 22?
732 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?
643 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-46.18
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 18?
600 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?
492 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 22?$32.42Jul 22, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$14.68Jul 22, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 22?$7.04Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.03Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.44Jul 22, 13:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.47Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 18?$43.62Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 18?$11.68Jul 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 18?$23.00Jul 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 18?$46.00Jul 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 18?$23.00Jul 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 18?$44.16Jul 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 18?$1.94Jul 18, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$67.46Jul 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$64.50Jul 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 13?$131.73Jul 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 13?$87.21Jul 12, 22:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$86.96Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$4.80Jul 8, 00:53 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.40Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
199 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.