Gifted-Everything
0xf0270189773fda74b539d424c167afc55dbeed7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$583.59
Total PnL
$85.48
Realised
$14.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
79 shares @ 7.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$78.87
$73.27
- NO
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
68 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$67.84
$7.35
- NO
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
54 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$54.11
$4.11
- NO
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
51 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$51.11
$4.47
- NO
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
35 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$34.53
$5.18
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.00
$3.30
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.78
$7.78
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
26 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$26.50
$1.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$23.26
$3.26
- YES
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
22 shares @ 20.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$22.06
$17.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$10.00Feb 16, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$20.00Feb 16, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.00Feb 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$6.00Feb 16, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$5.76Feb 16, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$8.46Feb 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?$11.09Feb 16, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$3.48Feb 16, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$8.80Feb 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $17.85Feb 16, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump transgender sports ban?$0.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?$0.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $2.30Feb 7, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$29.35Feb 5, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?$7.49Feb 5, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.80Feb 4, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?$0.00Feb 4, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?$0.00Feb 4, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?$20.00Feb 4, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$15.49Feb 3, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.