Teeming-Typhoon
0xf0291e68801549ca601e2e71c13f3ba1e91110dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$22.33
Total PnL
$-9.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16?
22 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$22.33
$12.95
- YES
Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 16?
22 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?
19 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?
18 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 16?$1.13Apr 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16?$2.45Apr 15, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?$1.76Apr 15, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?$3.44Apr 15, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16?$9.66Apr 15, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$17.75Apr 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$0.65Apr 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?$0.05Apr 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?$0.11Apr 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?$7.46Apr 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?$0.75Apr 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?$0.07Apr 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$0.34Apr 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$0.43Apr 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?$5.04Apr 12, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$1.56Apr 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$0.55Apr 5, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$1.20Apr 5, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$1.66Apr 5, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$1.10Feb 10, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.