0xf02f5f201b87972e4bfb35e351b05b8977523026
0xf02f5f201b87972e4bfb35e351b05b8977523026
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$66.62
Total PnL
$-12.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.98
$10.98
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 6.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.42
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$10.23Jun 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$50.00Jun 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$73.73Jun 11, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$10.20Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$20.47Jun 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$50.46Jun 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.43Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$0.97Jun 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.01Jun 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$5.25Jun 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$1.00Jun 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 10, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 9, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$5.17Jun 9, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$0.95Jun 6, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 6, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 6, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$1.00Jun 6, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.00Jun 6, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $10.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.