0xf0305b23abfffe7babf5cb95e437ec6ac0c0736c
0xf0305b23abfffe7babf5cb95e437ec6ac0c0736c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$24.97
Total PnL
$-27.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?
14 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$14.01
$9.25
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- YES
Maduro guilty of all counts?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.75
$-2.75
- YES
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
83 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
66 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?
15 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?$1.58Apr 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?$3.38Apr 6, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.00Apr 6, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$4.75Apr 6, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.50Apr 6, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?$0.04Apr 6, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$5.00Apr 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?$5.00Apr 5, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?$5.00Apr 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 6?$5.00Apr 5, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.44Apr 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.47Apr 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.09Apr 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.50Apr 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.75Apr 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.75Apr 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro guilty of all counts?$5.00Apr 4, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.