Purple-Heart
0xf031f49be6d5b2afce3ae280960b2fa7755fe251
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-808.52
Realised
$93.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1176 shares @ 35.7¢·now 85.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$583.47
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
724 shares @ 70.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$723.51
$213.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
374 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$374.00
$123.42
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$150.88
$0.88
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
512 shares @ 34.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$110.06
$-64.94
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
270 shares @ 56.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.65
$-98.55
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?
2108 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-369.85
- NO
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?
1111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
930 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
750 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-217.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.