Rusty-Dedication
0xf034dddae5be6cb5b968c6286a1bab20b4ca2ce6
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-321.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$219.00Feb 24, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$218.99Feb 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$212.47Feb 24, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 23?$212.47Feb 24, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 23?$211.41Feb 23, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.4KFeb 22, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.4KFeb 21, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.4KFeb 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.4KFeb 20, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$102.03Feb 20, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$100.00Feb 20, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.4KFeb 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.4KFeb 18, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$1.4KFeb 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$1.4KFeb 17, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$104.99Jan 24, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$102.79Jan 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$102.79Jan 16, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$99.65Jan 8, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 3?$99.66Dec 13, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $386.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.