Unfinished-Correspondent
0xf0386528f56b51eef2e3ee2144518821fd30e718
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-792.80
Realised
$-3.29
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 7?
77 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.11
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
34 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C or higher on May 11?
22 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 5?
19 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
12 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 13?
11 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.07Jul 23, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.49Jul 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.03Jul 23, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.20Jul 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.02Jul 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.62Jul 23, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.04Jul 23, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$5.25Jul 23, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$5.02Jul 23, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$2.73Jul 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.07Jul 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.37Jul 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.03Jul 23, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.20Jul 22, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.02Jul 22, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.51Jul 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.67Jul 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.03Jul 22, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.55Jul 22, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.04Jul 22, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.