True-Gran
0xf038e075c8645636e69dc3c79d4378fe74ba29f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$8.52
Total PnL
$-51.07
Realised
$2.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.69
$-0.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$3.24Jun 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.21Jun 7, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1.19Jun 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.20Jun 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$1.12Jun 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$3.46Jun 5, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.28Jun 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.72Jun 3, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.23Jun 3, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.03Jun 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.57Jun 1, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.16Jun 1, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.11Jun 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.33Jun 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.13Jun 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Jun 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Jun 1, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.