Tough-Physics
0xf03dc2c62c718b7f34ef9cc66023b655675966b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.46
Total PnL
$-118.37
Realised
$-9.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$9.46
$4.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?
1424 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 16?
230 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
60 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
56 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
47 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
37 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
34 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
33 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
25 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$7.20Apr 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$4.00Apr 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$9.24Apr 11, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$2.00Apr 11, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.00Apr 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.00Apr 11, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.