Wallet digest

active

Activity score

60/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$8.33

Total PnL

$-457.29

Realised

$-0.54

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026
$8.33
$3.33
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
282 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-47.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
119 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-89.21
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
108 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-99.45
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
70 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.38
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
53 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-19.73
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
48 shares @ 82.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-39.79
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
25 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026
$0.00
$-15.53

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.14May 18, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.14May 18, 16:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.82May 18, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.13May 18, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.09May 18, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.14May 18, 16:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 02:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 02:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 02:41 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$56.36Apr 9, 02:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 02:39 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$108.10Apr 9, 02:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$57.40Apr 9, 02:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 02:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$50.00Apr 9, 02:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 02:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$40.00Apr 9, 02:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.00Apr 9, 02:27 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk78 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $41.03
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 26, 14:11 UTC
Last active: May 18, 16:20 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:55:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data