Pungent-Ladybug
0xf04c0bb3dd62e60d7f802831e881a07fbc08b823
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$99.69
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$88.59
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.69
$-0.31
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
32100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-145.96
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
7962 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.99
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
3788 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- UNDER
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
2759 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
2167 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
1203 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.52Jun 4, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$13.89Jun 4, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$28.57Jun 4, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$10.19Jun 1, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$41.59Jun 1, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$6.86May 31, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$10.64May 31, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$10.11May 31, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$501.90May 31, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$294.77May 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$10.99Apr 18, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$10.00Mar 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5$1.00Mar 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$100.00Mar 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-11?$395.47Mar 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-11?$383.49Mar 12, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$42.55Mar 12, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$10.00Mar 10, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$10.00Mar 10, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$10.00Mar 10, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $89.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".