Afraid-Muscatel
0xf04e4b7bcaf967d4d5cc01f29690b63f3538524e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
1366 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-195.90
- YES
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
849 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
713 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.05
- YES
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
662 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
662 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
637 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
579 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
470 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?$18.05Jan 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$97.94Jan 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$97.96Jan 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?$129.92Nov 23, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?$8.33Nov 23, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$9.11Oct 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by October 31?$20.00Oct 2, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$20.00Oct 2, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by September 30?$23.65Sep 11, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$23.65Sep 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$19.16Sep 7, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$15.19Aug 29, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$4.94Jul 27, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.00Jul 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.00Jul 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.00Jul 27, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $254.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".