Dishonest-Message
0xf057cc2673516ff0b19573a76ac6d63a0854a931
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$539.73
Total PnL
$-177.89
Realised
$45.06
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
77 shares @ 54.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.64
$15.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
330 shares @ 3.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$54.45
$44.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$43.75
$33.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
330 shares @ 3.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$41.25
$31.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
330 shares @ 3.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$37.95
$28.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$33.75
$23.75
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
72 shares @ 27.7¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.85
$3.85
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
35 shares @ 71.9¢·now 51.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$17.89
$-7.11
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
170 shares @ 5.8¢·now 10.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$17.11
$7.20
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
46 shares @ 21.7¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.68
$1.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$8.18May 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.32May 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.90May 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$12.48May 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$9.11May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.89May 14, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.00May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.01May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.10May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.15May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.01May 14, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$11.36May 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$10.24May 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$1.01May 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.90May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.00May 14, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.00May 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.90May 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.90May 14, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".