0xf060017d04a20f16f58d7f4b489e26c6ac8b39d6
0xf060017d04a20f16f58d7f4b489e26c6ac8b39d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$57.17
Total PnL
$-43.17
Realised
$-21.59
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 15?
17 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$16.79
$1.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on February 16?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$10.11
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on February 15?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$10.06
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 16?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$5.21
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 16?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$5.11
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on February 15?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$5.07
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$4.82
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 15?
3155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?
17 shares @ 91.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 15?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on February 16?$0.00Feb 24, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 16?$0.00Feb 24, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 16?$0.00Feb 24, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 24, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 16?$0.00Feb 23, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 16?$0.00Feb 23, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on February 16?$0.00Feb 23, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.