Aggravating-Audit
0xf06a132f3169e135658dbaa3a7a64123ec1dd6af
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.11
Total PnL
$-165.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
11 shares @ 26.4¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.11
$-0.89
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
8000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1580 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.26Mar 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.46Mar 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.00Mar 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 14, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?$1.00Mar 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 7?$1.00Feb 6, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 3, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".