Outlandish-Democrat
0xf06fc33ece683ddb54ba07823ddf0c557e2681ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$18.57
Total PnL
$-720.41
Realised
$68.74
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will DOGE audit the Federal Reserve before May?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$10.00
$3.50
- NO
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?
5 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$5.00
$1.83
- YES
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
2 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.01
$1.15
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?
955 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-116.40
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
429 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
283 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-195.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?
275 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-82.10
- YES
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
238 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.11
- YES
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?
221 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $75.00May 22, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?$0.74May 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?$7.50May 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?$0.26May 3, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$30.17Apr 19, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Russia before July?$8.30Mar 18, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$15.20Mar 4, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?$13.67Mar 4, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$2.55Mar 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$26.98Mar 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$20.00Feb 25, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$20.00Feb 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$30.00Feb 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$21.00Feb 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?$5.40Feb 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit the U.S. before July?$21.90Feb 24, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Left be part of the next German government?$2.50Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$0.42Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$3.69Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$0.75Feb 23, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $21.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".